Using Reverse Line Movement To Win

RLM takes place when more money/ sportsbook picks are bet by the small percentage of bettors that are on the unpopular side (the sharps) than is bet by the huge majority of players betting the popular side (the squares). This is where an important word of caution is in order though. This may enable you to get the stale more favorable sports betting line at the time the reverse line movement hits at the triggering Sportsbook. We tracked the top five books for each of the pointspread sports for the last two years, as as you can see, this strategy has been profitable in every sport.

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So what we recommend is to only use the top five each season for each individual sport (in terms of units won). The records quoted below are based on the bets being made at the triggering books, so beating the move by a half-point or a few cents now and then would actually make your record even better.

Thus, following reverse line movements is the same thing a following the smart money. Note that these records are for sides only and do not include totals.

The NFL sports betting is generally considered the toughest sport to beat, yet blindly following this method produced an exceptional 59.2 percent win rate last season, improving the two year record to 328-249-12, 56.8 percent, +59.06 units. Quite a few RLM followers watch the moves until almost game time, and then bet accordingly. Keep an eyes on the top five sportsbooks at m88 asia Sports Insights though, as NCAAF sports betting has been very liquid in that regard, with only one sportsbook (believe it or not, Bodog) finishing in the top five both years.

prosportsonline.net

Now do the sharps win every single time? Absolutely not! However, they are right more often than they are wrong, so being on the same side as the sharps is a prudent strategy over the long run, and again, the best thing is that there in absolutely no conventional sports handicapping necessary..

Also, games where over 60 percent of the public are on one side, yet there is reverse line movement of at least 10 cents on the Money Line from the opening number at the top five sportsbooks in MLB and NHL sports betting has also been profitable. Furthermore, they list the RLM records for many individual sportsbook, making it easy to spot which books this system is working at and which books it may be best to ignore.

NBA sports betting has the lowest two-year five-book RLM winning percentage among the 11/10 sports, but then again, every gambler in the world would kill to go 382-301-9, 55.9 percent, +48.90 units, and the 57.5 percent win rate this past season is nothing to sneeze at. This would make Miami +6 the RLM play.

So what causes RLM when the aim of most sportsbooks is to get as close to balanced action on both sides as possible? The answer to this is quite simple: the sharp bettors; the one’s who give sports betting advice. All of this will be fun to follow (not to mention profitable) when every sport except baseball are going on simultaneously during the winter months.

http://prosportsonline.net

So what exactly is reverse line movement? RLM takes place when a large majority of bets are on one team, yet the line moves in the opposite direction. Keep a close eye on Canbet here, as that Australian sportsbook cracked the top five both years.

The highest two-year winning percentage using RLM from the top five books belongs to College Football, which went 480-341-10, 58.5 percent, +95.10 units. Carib ruled the roost season at 93-66-9, 58.5 percent, +18.55 units after ABC held the penthouse spot in the 2007-08 season.. Another important recommendation is to use a slow moving (but reliable) sportsbook. To illustrate, let us say that San Diego Chargers open at -7 over the Miami Dolohins, and over 70 percent of the sports bets placed on the game are on San Diego. The huge problem with this is that the nfl line, ncaaf line or nhl line may have moved too much by that time, and all of the value has been sucked out of the unpopular side.

To back this up, our friends over at Prosportsonline.net have tracked the records for games where over 60 percent of the public has been on one side, yet there was reverse line movement of at least one full point from the opening number at the top sportsbooks in NFL, NCAAF, NBA and NCAAB. However, instead of the line rising as you might expect, it instead drops to Chargers -6.

College Basketball sports betting was not too shabby either, with a two-year mark of 492-356-22, 58.0 percent, +91.96 units. Last year was a good RLM season for NFL sports betting (45-29, 60.8 percent, +11.91), but two sportsbooks that were in the top five in NFL RLM in both seasons.

By: Manny G

The proper way to make a sports bet using reverse line movement is to place your bet as soon as there is an RLM of one full point (or 10 cents in MLB and NHL) off of the opening line. It should be noted that many fewer MLB games have qualified so far this season (is the whole world using RLM now?), but smaller profits is still profit.Again, these records are for Money Lines only and do not include totals.Finally, NHL sports betting has picked up 148.49 units in two years, and unlike MLB, NHL had four sportsbooks out of the top five gain double-digit units this past season. Sure, using this approach leaves open the possibility of the line turning around and moving back against you, but as you will see in bit, betting as soon as an RLM qualifies has been profitable in every major North American sport such as the last two seasons, so if one line turns around, so be it. Keep in mind that NCAAB was Click for more

Real Money Gaming: The Next Billion Dollar Opportunity?

Market size

Betable allows social game developers to add real, working gambling mechanics to their games.

Rational Group, the Isle of Man-based company that operates PokerStars, the world’s leader in real-money online poker, acquired the Atlantic Club Casino Hotel, one New Jersey’s 12 licensed casinos and will obtain and NJ Casino license with the transaction.

Zynga

MGM Resorts and Boyd Gaming Corp, its partner in the Borgata casino in Atlantic City, have arrangements with Bwin.Party, which runs Internet gambling from Gibraltar.

Some large companies have policies against involvement with gambling, which reduces exit opportunities for companies in the business. Schmidt, Google’s Executive Chariman. They’ve already hired an executivefrom 888 Holdings, a gambling company, begun investing in state and federal lobbying efforts, and have applied for an operator license in Nevada and expect to launch their first real-money gaming products in international markets in the first half of 2013. Overseas, online betting is generating an estimated $32 billion in annual revenue — nearly the size of the United States casino market.

In addition, some large public equity investors, such as hedge funds, have policies against investing in gambling related companies and some general and limited partners of venture capital and private equity funds have similar policies, which could reduce liquidity in private markets. .

New Jersey’s Governor Chris Christie recently signed a law allowing Atlantic City’s casinos to run websites that take bets on games such as blackjack, slots and poker, but require bettors to be physically present in the state. Investors include Jeff Bezon’s, Founder of Amazon, and Eric E.

No one seems more qualified to exploit the opportunity than social gaming company, Zynga, with their established user base, expertise in driving engagement and virality, and iterative data driven product development process. Juniper Research estimates that betting on mobile devices alone will be a $100 billion worldwide industry by 2017.

Laws

Chris DeWolfe, a co-founder of the pioneering social site Myspace, is launching a gaming studio with a gambling component. Delaware recently passed similar laws.

Given the lengthy licensing process and regulatory concerns, new entrants are looking to partner with currently existing casino operators.

Partnerships and M&A

Many believe that online gambling will soon become as simple as buying an e-book or streaming a movie, and that the convenience of being able to bet from your couch, will present incredible opportunities for entrepreneurs.

Startups

Offline gambling is a massive market with validated demand, and many believe online gambling will be llarger.

If online gambling laws continue to be relaxed across the United States, it could represent a massive opportunity for entrepreneurs and investors.

Social Responsibility

In the U.K., Zynga has partnered with Bwin.Party to offer games such as “FarmVille” slots for real-money betting.

Concerns over social responsibility will have some consequences on investment considerations in the market. Nevada’s law, signed on February 21st of 2013, lets land-based casino operators offer online poker only Click for more

How To Master Sports Betting

The weather conditions also make a difference as they do in horse racing. You want to know who trained and who didn’t. On the flip side, you shouldn’t bet against a team because someone you don’t like roots for that team. It could provide great insight as to predicting what will occur.

Sports betting is an easy way to make a tough living. You can’t let the highs and lows affect you too much.

In the case of team sports, injuries are important. So if you suffer a bad break along the way, just remember it goes with the territory. Business is business and you need to be concentrating on who is going to win regardless of who likes and who doesn’t like which team.. Hopefully this kind of thinking will keep you grounded. You don’t want to lose money just because you weren’t on top of your game.

The most important thing is that you need to take emotion out of the equation. Over time, you will learn what it should be that you should be paying attention to.

Because of this point, it is probably better if you steer clear from any matches involving the teams that you like. Travel is a factor such as when East Coast sides travel to the West Coast and vice versa. For instance, if you are pretty certain that a side is going to win and they are getting good odds for this than take this. So do yourself a favor and swear off them. Look for value bets. You shouldn’t favor a team because they are the team your best friend supports. Thus when you are doing well, you will still be focused and when you aren’t doing so well you won’t be thinking that it’s the end of the world. If fun88 you are going to do it you need to do it properly and master it, it means you are completely organized and focused. It doesn’t matter if it is pretty or not.

Information and doing your homework is important, but you don’t want to full into the trap of information overload. You will be better off for doing so in the long run.

Speaking of the long run, this is what you should be focused on. This means that when you place your bets you need to be thinking clearly and concisely. What is the point of drowning yourself in statistics and research for what you could just as easily decided with a flip of the coin? So you need to sift through it all and just take the morsels here and there which are really important and make a difference. It is only going to place you in a difficult position and as much as you might think it won’t be, your decision making ability is going to be compromised. Also look into how sides perform the week after doing certain travel. Upsets are always going to happen but see when it makes the most sense when to go for that and when not to. It’s all about accumulating winnings. Anything less than this and it is going to be a disaster

https://fun88no1.com Click for more

Casinos, one-arm bandits, coming to cash-strapped French cities | Reuters

More than half of the space at JOA’s 22 casinos was now devoted to non-gambling activity too, he said, adding that diversification was vital.

That is helping them get a foothold outside of the resort and health spa towns, such as Deauville on France’s northern coast, to which they have been largely confined since casino gambling was legalized in 1907. No casinos are allowed inside the capital or anywhere within a radius of 100 km under a law dating back to 1907.

MARSEILLE, France French casino operators are seeking to expand beyond their historic hunting grounds of chic holiday resorts in search of younger customers.

Lassiaz. “The goal is to generate turnover and profitability from the host of activities with a clientele that sees casinos more as leisure centers.”

In a policy U-turn, the mayor of Marseille, Jean-Claude Gaudin, has just opened the way for a casino operation in the Mediterranean port city of more than 800,000 people, where one in four resident lives below the poverty line.

By Jean-Francois Rosnoblet

| MARSEILLE, France

An industry that has thrived despite strict regulation and a century-old ban in the capital Paris is now eyeing big urban centers where it was once unwelcome.

The idea of expanding that activity along models that have thrived in London, is now being actively examined, says JOA’s . For the first time in seven years, the net revenues of France’s 201 casinos rose in 2015, growing 2.2 percent to 2.2 billion euros.

If Paris authorities shun a 2015 report recommending that casinos be legalized, casino groups could enter the capital via private gambling clubs, of which there are just three.

The last bastion is Paris.

“France is the leading country in Europe for the number of casinos and the turnover figure, ahead of England,” Laurent Lassiaz, chairman of Casino group JOA, told Reuters.

As France, like the rest of Europe, strives to keep a lid on public overspending, the drive to cut deficits is putting local government funding under increasing pressure and boosting the attractiveness of cash-cow casinos.

Unlike many other cities, the capital is less in need of an extra revenue stream given the vast sources that already exist in the form of local business taxes and the spoils of being one of the world’s biggest tourist attractions.

According to the casino industry federation, taxes paid by casinos, mostly levies on “one-arm bandits” and other types of coin-slot machines, provide 30 percent of the city budget in Deauville and up to 80 percent of local funds on other places.

With cash-strapped local governments looking for more revenue, the tax jackpots casinos can generate are looking increasingly attractive.

Gaudin announced earlier this week that a public tender was to be launched to license a casino operator in a sun-soaked city that more often makes the headlines with news of shootouts among rival druglords.

“I’ve never in my entire life played in a casino, but I can understand people like it,” Gaudin conceded.

All of the large casino groups are looking to get in on the act in Marseille itself, where mayor Gaudin’s change of heart is partly inspired by studies showing a new casino could create 500 jobs and contribute 10 million euros per year to the city’s public finances.

Partouche, the country’s largest casino group, has started building an open air casino in the historic shipbuilding city of La Ciotat, not far from Marseille, where most of a vast outdoor space will be filled with slot machines.

(Writing by Brian Love; Editing by Andrew Callus and Tom Heneghan)

Now that the casino business as a whole is back in profit for the first time since 2008, the potential tax take for stretched local governments is even greater Click for more

Games and Casino Blog Listings

This is yet another major payout for this game that’s happened in 2016, and there have been several millionaires made by this title in the past 6-7 months along those lines.

About the Jackpot Payout

The jackpot itself was actually worth EUR6,355,463.

Read full article. The payout came on the Mega Moolah slot, a game that currently holds the world record for the largest online jackpot in history. 11 July 2016

Mega Moolah Triggers at Casinoland for EUR6.4 MillionA lucky player at Casinoland was able to take down a win worth EUR6.4 million recently Click for more

New ‘obesity calculator’ predicts child’s likelihood of being overweight

“The prevention of obesity should be started as early as possible. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, more than one-third of American children were overweight or obese in 2008.

Jarvelin noted that of the kids tested with the obesity calculator, the 20 percent with the highest likelihood of obesity at birth made up 80 percent of obese children.

Click to use the calculator to determine a child’s probability of being obese based on a Finnish population.

“I’ve seen families work hard to change their child’s eating habits, but these should be started much earlier,” Jarvelin continued.  “It’s not just what the child eats, but their eating habits and, for example, how mothers and fathers are feeding their children when they are small.  “Genetic variants were not important at a population level to help explain common obesity in a population.”

Utilizing simple data such as the child’s birth weight, number of household members and the mother and father’s body mass indexes (BMI), the calculator provides a percentage of predicted probability of obesity.  The mother’s occupation and her gestational smoking habits are also taken into consideration.

Environmental and lifestyle factors

Jarvelin added that these environmental factors are more important than genetic variants.

Click to use the calculator.

According to Jarvelin, the researchers were able to narrow down the most predictive factors to these few lifestyle and environmental factors, which were able to accurately predict childhood obesity up to 85 percent of the time.  

Childhood obesity has become a growing dilemma in developed nations and most notably in the United States, with rates more than tripling in the past 30 years.  She noted that since the data needed for the calculator are routinely measured during maternity care, the calculator can be a cheap and valuable resource for parents hoping to prevent their child from becoming overweight.

To develop the formula, researchers analyzed data from an ongoing 1986 study following 4,000 children born in Finland over the course of their lives.

“If you, for example, use this calculation model, and then you find out that your child’s risk of becoming obese or overweight is at 70 percent, then we can say for sure that something should be done,” Jarvelin said. You have to work really, really hard.

For parents looking to keep their child healthy and physically fit as they grow up, a better understanding of their child’s propensity towards obesity could be an essential tool in helping to keep off the pounds.   While initially tested and analyzed, genetic variations associated with obesity were ultimately not very reliable in predicting a child’s probability of obesity.

“We were basically looking at correlations between different factors, how they all come together and what was the predictive value in this analysis,” Marjo-Riita Jarvelin, one of the study’s lead authors, told FoxNews.com.  Available as an online calculator, an equation developed by researchers at the Imperial College London can strongly predict a baby’s probability of becoming obese during childhood.

“Once we compare different statistical models, and we added the genetic variants [associated with causing obesity], their ability to explain childhood obesity didn’t improve at all in practice,” Jarvelin, a pediatrician and professor and chair in Lifecourse Epidemiology at Imperial College London, told FoxNews.com.  They originally examined a variety of different factors that could potentially explain the population’s obesity – from genetic variants to environmental and lifestyle factors.

Take a hypothetical couple with BMIs of 25, the mother a non-smoker working a professional job, both living in a two-person household: If they just gave birth to a nearly 8-pound baby, the likelihood of their child being overweight or obese is only 2.05 percent. If child is obese at the age of 6 or 7, it’s difficult to make the child lose weight.  It’s incredible what parents can do.”

Childhood obesity has been on the rise in the United States, a trend that is putting many children at risk for a multitude of health problems – from cardiovascular disease and high blood pressure to early type 2 diabetes.

Click to download the Excel spreadsheet, to determine a child’s probability of being obese based on an American population.  However, once you change the mother’s occupation from a professional job to unskilled or unemployed, the child’s likelihood jumps up to 14.25 percent.

A growing problem

“This doesn’t exclude the impact of genetics when it comes to obesity,” – about one in 10 cases of obesity resulted from a rare genetic mutation – “but, if we are looking at it population-wise in the development of childhood obesity, it’s very small proportionally.”

But how are parents supposed to know the likelihood their child will be overweight?

A new, simple formula could be the key.  Once the sheet is open, click on the Viva tab.

When it comes to solving the obesity crisis, Jarvelin, along with many other pediatricians argue that prevention is the biggest defense – through healthy lifestyle habits and physical activity. “…Once we add one extra factor, does it improve the model? If you add paternal BMI, does it improve? Then, when you add in maternal smoking, does it improve again?  And so on, and so on.  Eventually, you will end up with a situation where adding something like maternal age does not improve the model.  According to the U.S.  It’s inclusion and exclusion.”

.  I’ve seen so many different feeding styles Click for more

Oscar odds: Favorites and longshots for Hollywood’s big night

The movie he starred in, “The Revenant,” is also favored to win Best Picture, according to online betting site PaddyPower.com.

CNNMoney (New York) First published February 23, 2016: 11:28 AM ET

. ET this Sunday on ABC.

The thriller directed by Alejandro González Iñárritu is currently holding 8-to-15 odds to win. The ceremony hosted by Chris Rock begins at 8:30 p.m.

If that seems like a wide margin it’s nothing compared to the best actor category where DiCaprio is a prohibitive favorite with 1-to-100 odds.

Here’s the list of the Oscar odds for the award show’s biggest categories, according to PaddyPower:

leonardo dicaprio“The Revenant” is the betting favorite to win Best Picture at Sunday’s Academy Awards. The 20th Century Fox film is followed by “Spotlight” which comes in at 23-to-10 and “The Big Short” at 5-to-1.

Best Picture:

“The Revenant”: 8-to-15

“Spotlight”: 23-to-10

“The Big Short”: 5-to-1

“Room”: 50-to-1

“The Martian”: 100-to-1

“Mad Max: Fury Road”: 100-to-1

“Brooklyn”: 150-to-1

“Bridge of Spies”: 200-to-1

Best Actor:

Leonardo DiCaprio, “The Revenant”: 1-to-100

Eddie Redmayne, “The Danish Girl”: 20-to-1

Michael Fassbender, “Steve Jobs”: 20-to-1

Bryan Cranston, “Trumbo”: 80-to-1

Matt Damon, “The Martian”: 100-to-1

Best Actress:

Brie Larson, “Room”: 1-to-25

Saoirse Ronan, “Brooklyn”: 10-to-1

Cate Blanchett, “Carol”: 33-to-1

Charlotte Rampling, “45 Years”: 40-to-1

Jennifer Lawrence, “Joy”: 40-to-1

Best Supporting Actor:

Sylvester Stallone, “Creed”: 3-to-10

Mark Rylance, “Bridge of Spies”: 5-to-2

Christian Bale, “The Big Short”: 16-to-1

Tom Hardy, “The Revenant”: 16-to-1

Mark Ruffalo, “Spotlight”: 40-to-1

Best Supporting Actress:

Alicia Vikander, “The Danish Girl”: 1-to-2

Kate Winslet, “Steve Jobs”: 3-to-1

Rooney Mara, “Carol”: 7-to-2

Jennifer Jason Leigh, “The Hateful Eight”: 25-to-1

Rachel McAdams, “Spotlight”: 100-to-1

Related: Oscars make changes to boost diversity amid #OscarsSoWhite backlash

Red carpet coverage of the 88th Annual Academy Awards begins at 7 p.m Click for more

Pathological Liar Test

These liars need to be in total emotional control to keep nerves at bay, which is not always an easy task. If that person realizes that you are not believing him or her, that person may become really agitated and go totally on the defensive mode.

Did You Know?

Studies say that around 60% people tell at least one lie in a short ten-minute conversation with anyone.

Details Galore

Another test, or rather sign is that the person concerned will pretend and talk as if (apparently) he/she knows more about you, than you know about him/her. In case it so happens that anything said by the person is doubtful and you cannot vouch for that, the person might be lying.

Treatment for this condition involves several aspects. But there are some who do not mind lying, and they lie pretty convincingly. Moreover, you can lie to people convincingly, but how can you deceive your own self? Just as Eric Hoffer has said, “We lie loudest when we lie to ourselves.” Lying is one thing which turns me off every bit. If you observe this happening frequently, be careful.

The mind, if it is channelized in the wrong direction, can spell doom for that person and for others as well. In this case, when you ask such a person about something related to what he or she said, the person asks you to repeat the question. That is, if you do not want to lose contact with that person. This gives that person time to cook up or devise a lie in anticipation and hope that you would believe him or her. That is because, if the person is an expert in falsifying incidents and fabricating tales, there would not be any alterations in his or her physiological responses. These responses could be anything – from changes in blood pressure to increased or decreased pulse rate, perspiration, and so on. That time, you have to trust your gut feeling and look out for some signs, which will help in deciding whether that person is lying or not.

Nervy Times – Body Lingo

Well, even though the person thinks that he or she is very smart and the lie cannot be unveiled, the person lying tends to forget that his/her body language is a definite giveaway. Such people cannot properly differentiate between the reality and truth, and they seem to live in a fantasy world. It includes probing the patient for getting any indications of a personality disorder and cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT).

At the end of the day, if you choose not to deal with such a person, that is an individual decision. Now, this can very easily translate into signs of discomfort, like being restless and an inability to sit still – a small part of the body language which hints at lying.

Lie Detecting Tests

The main purpose of the broad category of lie detector tests is to confirm if the person is speaking the truth or not.

» Functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging (fMRI), another test that has been used in the recent times, is a technique in which the use of oxygen by the brain and the fluctuations while telling lies are recorded. If that is someone very close to you, then may be realizing that the person is going through a psychological problem would help. Questions provoking considerable changes in the subject’s sympathetic nervous system are emphasized upon.

Signs of a Pathological Liar

Don’t Know Answers? Ask Questions

Those who are involved in pathological lying, or have a tendency to be one, are very defensive, which is a natural reaction. It records and measures varied physiological responses of the person being tested. That is especially when they are asked doubts and queries they are not expecting. Again, the reason behind this is simple – to manipulate others into believing their lies. They are inconsistent too, about whatever they say. A combination of medication and psychotherapy can help in treating a pathological liar.

In case of pathological liars, sometimes, the tests may not prove to be conclusive. The subject of inconsistency can be anything – from their work to family. Pardon Me

This is yet another significant sign of a pathological liar. This is one of the basic symptoms.

» The polygraph is the most common type of lie detector test. That too, with absolute élan, while others are totally persuaded and made to believe the ‘true lies’.

Take this simple test and find out if you stand in the group of pathological liars.

What is Cooking?

Pathological liars, according to expert psychologists, many a time, contradict themselves. fMRI has the potential to go to the root and catch the lie at source. Click for more

Horse Racing | Buzzle.com

Read on for more such interesting facts about the evolution of one of the most popular sporting events in the US…

History of the Horse Racing Industry

If you are interested in knowing how the horse racing and breeding industry grew over the last couple of centuries, you are on the right page. Along with the history of the horse racing industry, this article provides information…

Famous Horse Racing Courses Around the World

Horse racing is one of the fanciest, wealthiest and most popular sports in the world. From the various types of racing to the dangers associated to this sport, know it all, here in this very post!. The venue of the sport is just about as popular as its contestants are! Here is an account of the world’s most famous horse racing courses.

Horse Racing

A fan of horse racing or not, here’s some interesting information about this sport I am sure you did not know.

Brief History of the Kentucky Derby

The Kentucky Derby had nationwide television coverage for the first time on May 3, 1952 Click for more